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Election awareness ad film







closing operations due to lack of financial support, the airlines is under 15,000 Cr. debt and on the otherhand the expenses of this LS would be 50,000 Cr (highest ever) . Political parties could bailout this sinking ahip and save .




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I want to return to power to cover up all our misdeeds past 5 years. Whatsoever the means.. Let us live in peace and harmony.










हमारे देश के लिए बहुत ही शर्मनाक बात है कि 16,607 प्रतिवर्ष गलत कृषि नीतियों के कारण अपनी जीवन लीला समाप्त कर लेते है ओर देश मे चुनावों में इस पर कोई चर्चा नही




आज, मा. सांसद एवं लोकसभा से के प्रत्याशी श्री जी ने, बंडा विधानसभा के अन्तर्गत, बरा ग्राम में ग्रामवासियों से जनसंपर्क किया और साथ ही भोजन का भी आनंद लिया।




वोटर हूँ.....वोटर हूँ......लोकतंत्र का रखवाला हूँ। देश में विकास व प्रगति का सहारा हूँ...चाहे कुछ भी हो पर अपना फर्ज़ निभाने वाला हूँ।




The has THEEEE most inaccurate, desperate & disparaging adverts I’ve ever seen in any election season. Their minister of propaganda needs to stop 🛑 Not to mention their entire campaign is, “the other parties are worse than us”. Cool story




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Worst election campaign in Indian History CBI, ED, Black Boxes, Army, Neighbouring countries, Election Commission, Supreme Court all were dragged to service the interest of one Man and his party. What doesn't matter here is this country










അടി പൊട്ടുമ്പോൾ, ഒരു ചായകാച്ചൽ.. ധര്യമുണ്ടെങ്കിൽ ഇവന്റെ നെഞ്ചത്ത് നോക്കി ഇടിയടാ... ഇടിയടാ ... എന്റെയല്ല ഇവന്റെ...



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ଭୁବନେଶ୍ୱରରେ ବିଜେଡି ପ୍ରାର୍ଥୀ ଅନନ୍ତଙ୍କ ଗାଡି ଉପରକୁ ବୋମାମାଡ । ଗୁରୁତର ଅବସ୍ଥାରେ କ୍ୟାପିଟାଲ ହସ୍ପିଟାଲରେ ଭର୍ତ୍ତି ।




The ad which said that petrol price during is ₹71/ltr and during (NDA) it was ₹91/ltr. I checked prices of last 10 years online and found that it never gone up even ₹85/ltr. plz stop fooling us 🇮🇳












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जो जनता का हक़ है वो आपको ये सरकार एक उपहार और एक एहसान के तहद दे रही हैं ये मानसिकता कौन बदलेगा
आपको स्मार्ट सिटी का उपहार दिया इन्होंने क्या मिला आपको ?@priyankagandhi

अब होगा #NYAY
#PriyankaGandhi
#PriyankaGandhiVadra
#PriyankaGandhiInKanpur
#IndiaMaangeNyay
#Election2019 #INCIndia #PriyankaGandhi #INCUttarPradesh #AICCMedia
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Will EC's temporary ban deter politicians from making hate speeches?

The Election Commission of India has temporarily banned UP CM Yogi Adityanath, BSP chief Mayawati, Union Minister Maneka Gandhi and SP leader Azam Khan from election campaigning for a minimum of 48 to 72 hours, for having violated the Model Code of Conduct.

While the Supreme Court has expressed satisfaction at the move, many people feel that the punishment is too light and may not really stop politicians from making inflammatory and divisive speeches.

Do you think the ban is tough enough to deter politicians from mudslinging? Should the punishment for ‘hate speeches’ be much harsher?

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महागठबंधन को चुनौती देने मुरादाबाद पहुंचे पीएम मोदी| PM Modi Rally At  Moradabad, Uttar Pradesh

https://youtu.be/9MewDhQgzpM

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Election 2019.

#election #2019 #art #mdcommunity #artwork #india #intro #love #graphicdesign #mograph #motion #c4d #artstation #aftereffects #photoshop #election2019 #sikkim #trying #best
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Let us participate with great enthusiasm in the biggest festival of Democracy.
Your precious mandate decides to build the future of the Country. Join hands
to form a stable government for the overall growth & development of the Nation.

Move beyond all party lines, caste & religion and come forward to cast your votes
in the upcoming General Election scheduled on 29th April & 06th May 2019 to constitute
the 17th Lok Sabha in the biggest democracy of the world.

Because every vote counts!
Be ready for the #Loksabhaelections2019 and make your vote count.
#Election #MyVote #MyRight #voting#votingrights #keepvoting#RajasthanElection2019#VoteForRajasthan #GoVote#apkavoteapkaadhikar #indiavotes#vote #democracy #india #rajasthan#jaipur #loksabha #congress #bjp#politics #future #nation #vote2019@rahulgandhi @narendramodi#apexuniversity #follow@apex_university

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#little #ambassador of
#clean #election2019 #campaign
(at Dimapur)
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10 sectors that are raining jobs in 2019

The Naukri JobSpeak Index for January 2019 at (2,251), marked a 15% increase in hiring activity from January 2018 (1,951).

In the month of January 2019, IT-Software industry noted a significant rise in the hiring activity, growing by 36% in comparison to January 2018. Also, Auto/Auto Ancillary industry saw an increase in hiring with a growth rate of 17%. Hiring in IT-Software and HR functional area recorded a year-on-year rise of 35% and 30% respectively. Hiring in Bangalore was up by 27%; likewise, Mumbai was up by 10% and Delhi NCR by 8%.

Naukri.com is a recruitment platform that provides hiring-related services to corporates/recruiters, placement agencies and to job seekers in India and overseas.

Source: http://www.infoedge.in/pdfs/jobspeak-report-jan-2019.pdf

The Naukri JobSpeak is a monthly Index which calculates and records hiring activity based on the job listings on Naukri.com website month on month. The objective of Naukri JobSpeak is to measure the hiring activities in various industries and the data is compiled of companies which are registered on the platform and reflects gross hiring. July 2008 is taken to be the base with a score of 1,000 and the subsequent monthly index is compared with the data for July 2008. The jobs analyzed for the monthly Index are qualified on the basis of white collar, urban, belonging to organized corporate sector jobs with a main focus on service industries. The report shows hiring trends across industry sectors, geography, experience level and functional areas.

Source: Yahoo India Finance

IT-Software/Software Services

2018: 2185 hires
2019: 2948 hires

Source: Yahoo India Finance

BPO/ITES/CRM/Transcription

2018: 1715 hires
2019: 1936 hires

Source: Yahoo India Finance

Construction/Engineering/Cement/Metals

2018: 860 hires
2019: 798 hires

Source: Yahoo India Finance

Auto/Auto Ancillary

2018: 1455 hires
2019: 1709 hires

Source: Yahoo India Finance

Banking/Financial Services/Broking

2018: 2894 hires
2019: 2954 hires

Source: Yahoo India Finance

Oil and Gas/Power/Infrastructure/Energy

2018: 818 hires
2019: 787 hires

Source: Yahoo India Finance

Telcom/ISP

2018: 612 hires
2019: 524 hires

Source: Yahoo India Finance

Insurance

2018: 1370 hires
2019: 1299 hires

Source: Yahoo India Finance

Industrial Products/Heavy Machinery

2018: 1108 hires
2019: 978 hires

Source: Yahoo India Finance

Pharma/Biotech/Clinical Research

2018: 2035 hires
2019: 1950 hires

Source: Yahoo India Finance

medium.com
Election 2019 Effect on Indian Stock Market
Elections are a mega carnival in India with people from all walks of life actively participating in the process. The next General Election is scheduled to take place between April-May 2019. It is a short distance away and it is going to be a “Litmus Test” for the present government. The outcome of the election will determine the growth trajectory of India. Its importance can be mapped in three ways:

Elections are a mega carnival in India with people from all walks of life actively participating in the process. The next General Election is scheduled to take place between April-May 2019. It is a short distance away and it is going to be a “Litmus Test” for the present government. The outcome of the election will determine the growth trajectory of India. Its importance can be mapped in three ways:

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Baldemar Lopez wins! #Election2019
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कांग्रेस पार्टी 2020 तक 22 लाख सरकारी नौकरी देगी # RahulGandhi
#election2019 #manifesto2019
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Prannoy Roy interview: ‘Blaming EVMs an excuse for losers’

With less than a month remaining for Lok Sabha elections 2019, the message from the voter on ground is loud and clear for politicians vying for ‘the throne’- deliver or be done.

‘The present day Indian voter is nobody’s fool and is now much more cognisant of the performance of their chosen candidate,’ reveals ‘The Verdict’, an end-to-end analysis of elections trends and processes meticulously penned and decoded by the ‘fathers of Indian psephology’ Dr Prannoy Roy and Dorab Sopariwala.

In conversation with Yahoo India’s Chaitra Anand, the duo highlights crucial aspects that could influence and even determine the fate of political parties in Lok Sabha Polls 2019. Is it the end of anti-incumbency? Will women voters make all the difference? Will regional parties emerge kingmakers? Can opinion polls and EVMs really be trusted? Find out in this refreshingly honest discussion.

If you’re nuts about elections’ and want to know everything that happens during elections in democratic India, be sure to get your hands on a copy of ‘The Verdict’, a psephologically solid book, based on in-depth study and data, that’ll be a guiding factor in arriving at your own forecast of the results.

Question:‘The Verdict’ is an undisputed reference point for speculation for any elections enthusiast’, but what would you say sets it apart from other books in the genre?

Prannoy: There are so many good books on psephology, not only in India but globally, but ‘The Verdict’ is wholly based on the wonderful amount of data provided by the Election Commission of India, so it tries to avoid any subjective analysis. The most heart-warming thing which Yogendra Yadav, India’s finest  psephologist, said in his review of ‘The Verdict’ was that ‘out of this book 7 PhD theses can emerge.’ Not only was it great to hear, but perhaps in answer to your question, that’s what also makes this book different.

Dorab: I think the USP of this book is the range of subjects it covers, which have not been covered in any one book so far. People have shared certain thoughts and written a lot about the subject, but ‘The Verdict’ covers a range of subjects which makes it easy for readers to get an idea of all kinds of things that lead to election victories and defeats.

Question: What are political parties doing right or missing in terms of ensuring ‘voter turnout’ at polling booths, a major factor in determining polls results? Which party has an edge and why?

Prannoy: It is unbelievable how well-organised and what superb turnout management Bharatiya Janata Party has in place. It has the ‘Panna Pramukhs’ and ‘Booth Prabharis’, it has various levels of volunteers that ensure that their supporters get to the booth and get to vote on the polling date. All this is managed through an advanced social medial software which effectively conveys anything that the top most leader says down to the lowest level of the Panna Pramukh who works out of villages or small towns and looks after maybe 100 houses in their immediate neighbourhood. The Booth Prabharis look after either one polling booth or several polling booths and there are various levels to this. The Panna Pramukhs and Booth Prabharis even go to the extent of  sending messages to all the houses that he or she is in charge of and tell them to come to the polling booth at a certain time when they won’t have to queue much and when there will be a quick vote and no wastage of time. They’re just that organised.

Cadre-based parties are usually very organised in terms of getting their voters to turnout on polling day. The CPM, for example, used to be very good at this. They still have a good organisation, but the BJP has overtaken them in terms of converting this capability into technology. The CPM has still got the same levels and management, but they don’t use technology and the Internet the way that the BJP does. The Congress, Samajwadi Party, Bahujan Samaj Party are way behind in the management of the turnout of their supporters. They’re just nowhere in comparison, which is a huge disadvantage.

Dorab: I think all cadre-based parties are organised. However, the BJP also has an advantage in terms of access to relatively large sums of money which allows them to set up these systems. While there are cadres that are happy to work for free, you can’t deny that large amounts of money and great access to electoral rolls teamed with technology make a huge difference. That’s primarily why the BJP is doing very well.  Actually, they’ve started doing that in 2014 and they’re now fine-tuning it. Other parties are trying to catch up, but they’ve all realised that there is merit in being able to get the voter out almost one at a time.

Question: Do you think there is a thin line between ‘influencing voters’ to come out and vote, and ‘corruption’, in terms of giveaways and freebies?  Will this trend influence voting pattern?

Dorab: Corruption or not, the voter is getting pots of money and, in the end, does what he wishes. Finally, there is no way to control who the voter votes for. You can try and exert him to vote, give him money, alcohol, et cetera to vote, but finally the decision is in his hands. Corruption is certainly a terrible thing, but it is not a guarantee of getting a vote.

Roy: I agree with Dorab. People are now smart, they take the money and vote the way they want. However, I would like to segregate a couple of things in the question. One is, the difference between freebies that are giveaways and genuine transfers of money for welfare or certain other benefits to the poor, say to the farmers, which actually cannot be termed ‘freebies’. Welfare handouts actually change the lives of the poorest. For example, a freebie is like giving a voter a TV set or a mixer-grinder. But to give young women bicycles to go to school, for safety, is a moral social responsibility and life-changing for the young girl. There are many other handouts that do influence voters but don’t change their lives. So I think we must distinguish between short-term gains through freebies that don’t change lives to actual things that do make a difference to the voters life. Like forgiving farmer loans, etc.

Question: The most shocking revelation in the book is that of 21 million missing women across India who are not registered to vote. Can you give us an insight into why such a dismal statistic exist and how can the issue be addressed in terms of voting? Which party stands to gain and what will influence these women voters in terms of the party they choose?

Roy: There could be a PhD thesis on the reasons why these 21 million women are missing. But from our filed trips we get a sense that most of the women missing on the electoral rolls are from the poorest strata of society, the Schedule Castes and women from the Muslim community, etc. Women who are inclined not to be photographed or registered and who may not be wholly aware of the process of registration on electoral roles, etc. In terms of support, traditionally we’ve noticed that over the years women tend to support the BJP less than their male counterparts. So it is likely that if more women turned up, the BJP would not benefit. However, let’s be very clear that there’s absolutely no evidence that those 21million missing women are anything to do with the BJP manipulating the electoral roles or anything of that sort.. There is no evidence of that. The 21 million missing women are merely fortunate for the BJP,  because the BJP has traditionally been stronger amongst men than amongst women.

It is too late to change the electoral rolls for this election.  However, there is a simple emergency method to ensure that this travesty against women voters is rectified. The best way to address this issue would be to allow any women voter who turn up at the polling booth on voting day to vote as long as she can prove that she is Indian and above 18 years of age. Many lawyers are looking into allowing such voters to vote, who are not registered on electoral roles and may go to the Supreme Court on it.

As a citizen of India and above 18, you have the right under the Constitution to vote. Owing to external factors and a messed-up system, you should not have to forgo your basic constitutional right. Because the system is messed-up and your name is not on the list for something as small as not being at your house when the official visited your house, you should not be punished for that technical flaw in electoral roles. Just showing your Aadhaar card or any other proof of being Indian and over 18 years should suffice to go ahead and vote. I hope the Supreme Court does something about this because it is against our constitution and against democracy to have such a large section of society not being allowed to vote for technical reasons.

Question: How does the IOU (Index of Opposition Unity) comes into play in elections in India, especially in the 2019 elections. How will alliance shape the results of the elections?

Roy: It’s absolutely a game changer. Over the years, the importance of unity and the index of opposition unity has grown hugely. Earlier,  about one-third of all seats were won because of a divided Opposition. Now 50% of the seats are won because of a divided Opposition. So while all of us tend to focus on whether the votes are going to go up or down, the ‘arithmetic of alliances’ is just as important.

In fact when two parties come together, if they’ve got let’s say, 10% votes, and 15% votes and they come together in the next election, not only does it convert to 25%, but it grows beyond 25% and can be over 30%. Because people are quick to understand that there’s a better chance of winning through alliances and their votes won’t be wasted. So alliances and arithmetic are the biggest factor that is underestimated in understanding elections.

Dorab: It is just simple arithmetic, 1+1. If you’re losing by a small blah, but are tying up with an ally, you convert that blah of defeat into one of victory. And if you look at 2014 election, and 2019 election, you can see how many more alliances there are across all kinds of parties. Look at Tamil Nadu, there are two fronts with 7-8 parties each. Look at Bihar: for all practical purposes, there are two fronts which there weren’t last time. Everybody fought separately. So people have realised that you don’t hang together, you hang separately.

Question: With so much focus on alliances and so many benefits to be had, is the Congress lagging behind in this game too giving BJP the lead?

Roy: BJP is much smarter in this aspect, as well. The BJP have always been much better at making compromises and forming alliances and understating the importance of even a 4-5% extra votes that forming an alliance may bring with it. They have been much smarter in creating these ‘ghatbandhans’ than the Congress. Historically, and this time too.

Question: What are the major difference between the voters of democratic India from the three phases as classified in your book?

Dorab: Firstly, in the 1940s, India’s literacy was about 32% as per the 1941 census. There was very little literacy, very little communication. People lived in their own little villages and towns: villages more than towns because in those days population was almost 75% rural. You’d seen this party that had brought you Independence, there were all these leaders to whom you were grateful, so you kept on voting for them because you didn’t know if there was anything better. Secondly you were so grateful to them for having brought you Independence that even if they didn’t perform well in economic terms you believed in them.

Post-emergency, the electorate realised that it had enormous power in its hands and started throwing out elected representative and governments that did not perform. The literacy levels increased as well as access to media, and this led to increased awareness among the electorate. The anger in the electorate at the non-performance of governments resulted in almost 70% of the governments being thrown out. The politicians were slow to realise that the electorate had changed.

Then came the final phase where the voter sort of decided, ‘we’ll judge you once every five years in terms of what you’ve done for me, for my village, for my community, for my family. And if you perform I’ll back you, if you don’t, you’ve got to go’. So the voter now looks at political or social issues before voting and has a keen eye on how the government’s performance has directly impacted him. If the government has performed for him or her, then they say, ‘look you’re back!’. Otherwise you’ve got to go and that’s why chances of any party winning as of now is fifty-fifty. You perform for the voter, not for the grand economy or the big refineries.

The voter’s clear message to the politician is, ‘You perform for me in my village/town/city, in the way I live, the way I educate my children, in the way I get jobs. In those ways, if you help me I am with you. If I don’t see much help from you, I’m afraid I’ll have to try somebody else. Who I think could do a better job.’

Roy: Basically, there have three phases of Indian elections. The first phase, the 25 year period from 1952 to 1977, was a pro-incumbency phase in which 80% of governments were re-elected. In this post-independence struggle phase the voter was full of hope and trusted their political leaders.  The second phase is the 25 years from 1977 to 2002, the anti-incumbency phase in which less than 30% of governments were re-elected. This is the phase of the angry and disillusioned voter.  The current phase, sine 2002, which we call the ‘fifty:fifty phase’, in which 50% of government are re-elected and 50% are thrown out. This is the phase in which the voter is wiser and more discerning – and re-elects only those governments that have done good work in the villages and small towns.

What we’ve noticed is that, in the anti-incumbency era from 1977-2002, when we used to go around and talk to people, they were furious. They expressly said ‘these politician don’t turn up and we don’t see them at all between elections…’ Voters were blindly anti-establishment. Now, in the current ‘fifty-fifty phase’ voters are much smarter and much more clued in. The voter is using WhatsApp, Facebook, listening to well over 400 TV channels, they’ve got information from everywhere and then they make up their own minds after discussions and analysis. They are a very different from the voters 25 years ago. So now you’ve got a discerning smart voter, and the politicians are now beginning to realise this change and they’re also changing.

Politicians realise that if they want to be re-elected, they can’t disappear for five years in between elections to Delhi and walk around the corridors of Parliament. They have to keep visiting their constituency and doing something good for the villages and towns in their constituency. They know that if they don’t do that they will be thrown out. So both politicians and voters too have changed and it’s really a maturing of the Indian democracy. It is heart-warming to see a smarter voter and a more responsive politician. But in this, the voter has always been ahead. It was the voters’ push that made the politician realise, if you don’t deliver, you’re out! Perform or perish.

Question: A major takeaway from the book is the ‘end of anti-incumbency era’. Is this an underlying hint at the possible results of 2019?

Roy: It shouldn’t be read too literally, that it’s kind of a 50:50 chance as of now. By the way, a 50% chance of being re-elected is low by global standards. In America, Senators and Governors are re-elected 80 to 90% of the time. So 50% is still low by global standards, so it’s still a worry for any incumbent government. 50:50 is just an average, a base analysis. Then there are so many factors that take it from 50 to 80% or 50 to 30%. So it’s still a worry for any party to have a 50% chance as the base.. The 50:50 is the foundation on which voters swing one way or the other.

Question: What is the role of regional parties in the upcoming polls?

Dorab: Regional parties are becoming more and more important. The Congress and the BJP, which are national parties, fight each other directly in probably 3 or 4 states. The rest is the fiefdom of the regional parties. Their share of votes, their share of seats, everything has increased very significantly over the years. As the national parties withdrew, more and more regional parties were formed. Look at Telangana, Andhra, Tamil Nadu, Orissa, Bengal, these states have formed state parties to reflect the aspirations of the people of that state. And they make the national parties weaker and weaker in many states. These are the parties that are taking over. They actually are closer to the people, their votes are concentrated, so they do rather well in the elections.

As a result, the Congress and the BJP have a total of around 320 seats out of 543. The share of the regional parties has increased significantly, in terms of representation in the Lok Sabha .

Roy: In fact, regional parties in the first phase 1952-77 only won 4% of the seats in the Lok Sabha. That has gone up to 34% now. It’s that important. It’s gone up more than 8 times, almost 9 times. And this time, it could go even higher and the vote of regional parties could rise to 40% this time. Regional forces are the future of India. Lok Sabha elections are no longer national elections, but a “federation-of-state elections”. What happens in Karnataka is very different from what happens in neighbouring states of Tamil Nadu, very different from Kerala, very different from Bengal, very different from Orissa. The whole concept of the Lok Sabha election has transformed over the years. Local issues are increasingly important so regional parties are crucial in Lok Sabha elections now.

Question: Speaking of ‘grassroots democracy’, while the average voter is more concerned about immediate representative, how much of a role do representative heads of parties and their personalities play in influencing the voter?

Roy: These are not binary. Either the leader or the issues or the local parties. It’s a question of what degree does each play in a voter’s decision making process. All that we are saying is that, the national leadership in Delhi, has diminished in comparison to the local issues, the state issues and the state leadership. This order of importance  is reflected in the voter participation data which shows that people turn out much more for local elections, local issues, state issues than they do for national issues and Lok Sabha elections. The participation of voters is much higher, when local issues are important. So it’s not like it’s only local or it’s only the leader. You weigh it one against the other and make a final decision.

Question: Are Electronic Voting machines tamper proof? Are they really reliable? Your thoughts on recent controversies and demands against EVMs?

Dorab: I think the answer is simple, if they’re not reliable, or if they are tamper proof, somebody should show how they can be tampered with. The product is built in a way that there is no wi-fi, no Bluetooth; it’s independent and a standalone product. How can you tamper with it? And, well, if you can, then demonstrate it. How come every single party that has complained about EVMs not working well does so only when they lose? No party has complained about it when it’s won. Here’s something which is 100% tested. Go to the website of the Election Commission and see how carefully they are distributed, how difficult it is to even get access to it, leave alone tamper with it.

Roy: Blaming EVMs is the best excuse for losers.

Question: How much of a role does social media play in influencing the voters? Is there a certain section of society entirely dependent on information on social media and susceptible to making ignorant decisions?

Roy: When we recently travelled around villages, we asked people if they use social media, and we found that the use of social media is widespread! They use WhatsApp, Facebook and . You can almost call this a WhatsApp election. But it doesn’t mean that they believe everything on social media. Voters get information, get misinformation, and they know that a lot of it is unverified. They’re not like sponges that just absorb everything on social media. Social media is just like television or radio, adding another source of information.

The only problem with social media is that it can be dangerous because there is anonymity involved in social media. So someone can put a completely false violent picture on it and never need to take responsibility for it, and that violent image can insight violence and riots. Anonymity, which is the source and the beauty of the Internet, and what Yahoo, for example, would depend on and has thrived on, in these kind of situations is a big negative. A big worry that you can put out any false news on the internet and not be identified as the person who spread this this violent information. There needs to be some rethinking about anonymity, about whether the veil of anonymity should be removed in the rarest-of-rare cases. Where it leads to violence and riots and tension in the society. But lifting the veil of anonymity of the internet must be a decision by the judiciary only and not by the government.

Question: Can you don your psephologist hats and make a prediction on how many seats do you think would the NDA, the UPA, Mahagathbandhhan win’?

Roy: Forecasts are made by opinion polls and exit polls and we’re going to be doing that and forecasts can only be based on data. It’s really methodologically wrong for us to forecast.

Journalist should not make the forecasts, they should tell the story of the elections. Pollsters make forecasts.

Dorab: It’s not the job of the journalists to make forecasts, it’s the job of a psephologist to do a study and then make a forecast. There will be plenty of polls over the next few weeks, I think you should look to those. Rather than people sitting in their rooms like we are at the moment.

Question: Is this an elections that has no ‘wave’? Or do you think in light of the surgical strikes, a certain ‘nationalism’ wave has emerged giving the BJP an edge?

Roy: This book is not political, and it doesn’t forecast. Dorab and I have always said, forecasting is not the work of journalists, it can only be done through real data obtained through opinion polls and exit polls, on which Dorab is the absolute expert.

I’ll give you an example of why forecasts should not be done by journalists. Journalists should write about the key factors in elections, the issues of the elections, what motivates voters, the story of elections – not forecast the result. . Why not forecast? Because a 3% swing in votes can cause 90 seats to  change hands . And 90 seats, is the difference between winning or losing an election! Now how any journalist or anyone for that matter have a gut feel for 3%? Whether there’s a wave or not can only be judged really by polls and not by gut feel.

Dorab: Yes absolutely, but journalists don’t agree with that, so they’re quite happy to make forecasts.

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